The eurobarometer folks finally have published the post-Lisbon referendum poll. The pdf is now up - only on the French version of the Eurobarometer site at the moment - but the pdf is in English.
Here’s the age breakdown of voters. Age was FAR more important than class, or rural residency.
Have to run off to conference but will chew over data later, but some quick surprises:
- 57% of Yes voters thought the No campaign was convincing. Only 29% OF YES VOTERS thought the Yes campaign was more convincing
- 15% of voters made up their mind on referendum day. See why the broadcast moratorium was insanely stupid now?
3 responses so far ↓
1 Darragh // Jun 20, 2008 at 10:28 am
The no votes by the 18-24 and 25-39 bodes well. Shows we are not adopting the same “accept what we’re given by politicians” mentality that has long been forced on us.
2 Will Knott // Jun 22, 2008 at 10:57 pm
I’ll admit that I haven’t downloaded the PDF yet, but there is a minor problem with this poll. It’s called standard statistical error.
or to put it simply +/- 3%
If you take the standard sample (1000 people) of a presumably random population, the error bounds are plus or minus three percent.
Given that the final result was within this margin of error, I can see why no one knew where it was going to go on the day.
3 Conan Drumm // Jun 23, 2008 at 5:12 pm
Richard, to accurately reflect the result wouldn’t the sample have to reflect the age / gender and other cohort splits of the actual turnout?
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