My Recession Two Cents

June 25th, 2008 · 2 Comments

Slightly bumpier version of my piece in today’s Irish Daily Mail:

Richard Delevan

Exporting, instead of selling houses to each other, is the only real way to grow our way out of the hole we’re sinking into. Selling software, green innovations and services to the world is the way we get back to a position of strength.

Our tax and economic policies have to ignore the powerful construction lobby and vested property interests screaming for life support, and offer smarter export tax credits to indigenous exporting companies that create jobs here.

Innovation is the second ingredient. The good news is that it can be easier in some ways to try new things during hard times. Government can do its part. It must cut layers of administrative fat from behemoths like the HSE. It can and must change its procurement policies, leaning on suppliers to get a better deal by using online reverse auctions. Savings to the Exchequer could run to the hundreds of millions.

We must do more to encourage research and development, both in indigenous firms and foreign multinationals. The R&D tax credit we introduced in 2004 has done some good, and the extension of favourable treatment on credits, currently extended to 2009, should be extended for another three years at least.

An additional R&D tax credit on steroids needs to be introduced, along with a renewed seed capital programme. Promising companies in green energy, biotechnology, nanotechnology and life sciences should be given special attention and fast-tracked for incentives.

Consolidation and further competition needs to be permitted in dozens of sectors, to reduce inefficiencies and allow an Irish version to emerge of what the Germans call the “Mittelstand” – a group of highly efficient, dynamic, profitable and sustainable largish mid-sized businesses to develop.

Leadership is the linchpin, however. None of the ideas to jump-start the Irish economy will matter a damn with the current crop of leadership. Business doesn’t feel anyone’s in charge. And that was before Brian Lenihan decided to tell the building industry that it was his “misfortune” to be in charge when the soft landing became a “shuddering halt”. We need people who won’t shrink from the challenge. Bringing back Charlie McCreevey mightn’t be a bad start.

Or alternatively, we may have to wait for Fine Gael to dump Enda and put forward a credible alternative Taoiseach. A David Cameron to Brian Cowen’s Gordon Brown. (Anybody seen Simon Coveney lately?) Otherwise, not just business will lose confidence. If the Pope’s Children stop voting against stupidities like Lisbon and start voting with their feet, we’ll forget there were ever good times to begin with.

ENDS

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Tags: Daily Mail · economics

2 responses so far ↓

  • 1 Hugh Green // Jun 27, 2008 at 10:10 am

    Any thoughts on the cost of commercial property rental? My own experience is that that’s been a decisive factor in service firms relocating operations from Ireland in recent years.

  • 2 Richard // Jun 27, 2008 at 6:37 pm

    Hugh, I’d say that Habitat is obviously the biggest casualty so far attributable directly to the cost of rent. But that’s retail.
    To be honest I’d love to chat more about your experiences in this regard - rdelevan (at) gmail.com - because it’s something that I haven’t heard a lot of. I’ve heard a lot of whining on other fronts, particularly energy costs on the industrial side.
    I did read your post from January responding to Keenan’s Indo piece, and I’m a bit surprised it would be a trickier variable in transaction costs than personnel. How much does a fund accountant in Warsaw or Budapest make?
    There’s (still) such a glut of commercial property build at the moment in Dublin that I thought we would hit the opposite problem first - overcapacity and a slowdown, leading to a sudden drop in rental yields, leading to finance problems, leading to half-finished projects, leading to generalised despair, like the late 80s in New York.
    Something I’ll look into a bit more.

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