For those of you following the American elections anywhere near as compulsively as I am - ***RTÉ/TV3/Newstalk PRODUCER/RESEARCHER ALERT*** here’s a website you’ll need to check regularly between now and November: FiveThirtyEight.com. It’s to 2008 what RealClearPolitics was to 2004. And makes the latter by comparison seem sad and amateurish.
Pollster.com has also been invaluable.
FiveThirtyEight [...]
Who will win in November.
June 30th, 2008 · 3 Comments
Tags: Blogging · US politics
Obama Wins
June 3rd, 2008 · 3 Comments
The Associated Press moved its story at 1407 hrs EST, 1907 hrs Irish Time. I found out from the NPR Twitter feed on Twadget.
It’s a good day.
For those who are interested, I’ll be on RTÉ’s Late Debate presented by Rachel English tonight at 11, along with Margaret E Ward, Niall Stanage and Niall O’Dowd. [...]
Tags: Obama · US politics · politics
Super Tuesday II Predictions
March 4th, 2008 · No Comments
So, with skills only slightly better than a dart-throwing chimp (I slept soundly the night of the New Hampshire primary - doh) here’s the predictions for today’s primaries:
Ohio - Clinton +6
Texas - Clinton +1
Vermont - Obama +25
Rhode Island - Clinton +7
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Tags: US politics
Why Hillary is Losing
February 13th, 2008 · 1 Comment
It’s a long way from over, despite what some may write today. But Hillary Clinton does have quite the mountain to climb now to win the Democratic nomination. And none of the paths to victory are, shall we say, the high road.
I’ve put up a lengthy version of why Hillary is losing over at the [...]
Tags: Obama · US politics
Comment of the Day
February 13th, 2008 · 1 Comment
Mick Hall writes:
“I have wobbled slightly in my opposition to Obama, but now that you have voted for him I am absolutely certain that I am right in my opposition.”
Nice.
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Tags: Obama
Is 1,627 the new 2,025?
February 13th, 2008 · No Comments
…no - it’s not you, it’s me. It’s late. A new website - unaffiliated to the Obama campaign - went up today. ObamaisWinning.com tries to reframe the objective for the Clinton and Obama campaigns - not the 2,025 of total delegates but only 50% +1 of the 3,253 delegates up for grabs in primaries and [...]
Tags: Uncategorized
